Jack Julow’s Predictions for the 2018 Oscars, Part 1

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Jack Julow’s Predictions for the 2018 Oscars, Part 1

Jack Julow, writer

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As awards season comes to an end, The Academy Awards will finish out the season with a bang. The Academy Awards, also known as The Oscars, will take place on March 4, 2018, and will be hosted by Jimmy Kimmel once again. “The Shape of Water” leads with a total of 13 nominations, but “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” looks to be a frontrunner after sweeping multiple awards at the Golden Globes and the Screen Actors Guild Awards. For those preparing their Oscar ballots, here are the Herald’s definitive picks for all the award slots.

Let’s start out with the main award: Best Picture. “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” has been a consistent winner with critics and Academy members so far. It also sends a political message along the lines of the recent Time’s Up movement. However, there may be a possible upset with either “Lady Bird” or “The Shape of Water,” but that possibility remains unlikely.

The award for Best Actor will go to Gary Oldman for his role as Winston Churchill in “The Darkest Hour.” I personally hated the movie and thought his performance was tolerable at best, but every other male performance is not as Academy-friendly. If there was to be an upset, the award would go to Timothée Chalamet for his amazing performance as Elio in “Call Me By Your Name.”

The award for Best Actress will go to Frances McDormand in “Three Billboards.” Her character, Mildred Hayes, struggles with the grief of living after her daughter is tragically killed with the culprit nowhere to be found. My personal favorite was Saoirse Ronan in “Lady Bird.” I thought Ronan had greater depth and a more moving performance that was elevated by a superior script.

The award for Best Supporting Actor will go to Sam Rockwell in “Three Billboards.” Even though he plays a truly despicable character, Rockwell has been acclaimed for his performance as a relatable character that manages to gain empathy from an audience. If there was to be an upset, it could go to any of the other four nominees.

The award for Best Supporting Actress will go to Allison Janney for her role in “I, Tonya.” Playing the abusive mother of disgraced ice skater, Tonya Harding. Playing such a relentless character has garnered the actress critical praise. However, my personal pick would be Laurie Metcalf playing “Marion” in “Lady Bird.” Metcalf may cause an upset, but many say it is Janney’s time.

The award for Best Director will and should go to Guillermo del Toro. “The Shape of Water” is impeccably directed and Guillermo del Toro has been making original high quality films for a long time. It is time he gets his due. I highly recommend people see his most recent film.

The award for Best Original Screenplay is between Martin McDonagh’s “Three Billboards” and Greta Gerwig’s “Lady Bird.” I give the edge to “Lady Bird” considering Gerwig is a far more accomplished screenwriter, and the Academy tends to balance out awards that are not in the technical categories. However, there has also been some backlash to “Three Billboards,” and “Lady Bird” is far too critically acclaimed to walk out of Dolby theatre without a single award.

The award for Best Adapted Screenplay, a relatively weak category, is most likely to go to “Call Me By Your Name.” A touching story with impressive dialogue, “Call Me” is the frontrunner, but the Netflix film “Mudbound” may earn a serious award and bring some much needed prestige to the streaming service.

The award for Best Cinematography will probably be nabbed by “The Shape of Water” for its impressive visuals. While the film is deserving, the award should go to Roger Deakins for “Blade Runner 2049,” but it is unlikely even after his 14th nomination for exceptional camera work.

Best Animated Feature will go to “Coco” and Best Animated Short will go to “Garden Party.” Best Animated Short is really up in the air to whichever animated short campaigns the best as they are all equal in terms of animation quality. I would talk more on the animated films, but I have only seen a few.

That is it for the awards that actually mean anything. Next I will be discussing the technical awards.

Here they are again to fill your ballot.

Best Picture: “Three Billboards”

Best Actor: Gary Oldman for “The Darkest Hour”

Best Actress: Frances Mcdormand for “Three Billboards”

Best Supporting Actor: Sam Rockwell for “Three Billboards”

Best Supporting Actress: Allison Janney for “I, Tonya”

Best Director: Guillermo del Toro for “The Shape of Water”

Best Original Screenplay: Martin McDonagh for “Three Billboards”

Best Adapted Screenplay: Luca Guadagnino for “Call Me By Your Name”

Best Cinematography: “The Shape of Water”

Best Animated Feature: “Coco”

Best Animated Short: “Garden Party”

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